BrierIQ
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Kalshi analytics for event-contract traders

Prediction-market research with calibration discipline.

BrierIQ helps event-contract researchers review an ISB-powered research board with freshness-aware watch items, calibration discipline, catalyst context, and validation-gated lean states.

Controlled beta is currently free while snapshot coverage and validation checks mature.

Informational and educational analytics only. Not investment or trading advice. Event contracts involve risk.

Analytics Flags

Spot probability movement, liquidity shifts, and model divergence.

Calibration

Measure forecast quality with Brier score, not just win rate.

Portfolio Intelligence

Understand P&L, exposure, category performance, and resolution history.

Calibration intelligence

Win rate tells you what happened. Brier score tells you whether you were calibrated.

BrierIQ turns forecast quality into a first-class metric, so you can review whether your probabilities were disciplined at the moment you made them.

Open Brier score calculator
Brier Score Grade C
0.184

Your probability forecasts are roughly platform average, with slight overconfidence on high-probability markets.

Lower is better. Brier score measures squared error between forecast probability and final resolution.

Product surface

One research layer for the full event-contract workflow.

ISB research board

Review freshness-aware watch items, scored context, lean state, and catalyst coverage in one board.

Validation-gated statuses

See research board only, alerts disabled, and not-customer-alert-eligible posture directly in the preview surface.

Portfolio tracker

Track P&L, exposure, win rate, category attribution, and resolution history.

Calibration history

Compare Brier score and forecast quality by category, timestamp, and resolution outcome.

Watchlists and catalysts

Track scored watch items, signal history, and upcoming catalysts while alerts remain validation-gated in controlled beta.

Research-ready market pages

Bring probability, context, notes, and methodology into a single market review surface.

Preview

Dense enough for serious review. Clear enough to trust the board state.

Sample illustrative preview
Latest ISB snapshotFreshCurrent board window
Research board onlyYesControlled beta
Alerts disabled0Validation-gated
Watch items2Illustrative current board
Watch itemScoreLeanSignal history
NBA Finals78.1Awaiting market validation5 recent updates · stable priority
Stanley Cup Final76.7Awaiting market validation4 recent updates · stable priority

Audience

Built for traders who want evidence, not noise.

Active Kalshi traders

Monitor movement, confidence, and resolution outcomes without turning analytics into instructions.

Forecasting and data-science users

Evaluate calibration, probability quality, and model-market divergence with clear methodology.

Finance and macro watchers

Track policy, macro, crypto, and category-level shifts in one research dashboard.

Builders testing event-contract models

Use watchlists, Brier score, and historical flags as the foundation for later API workflows.

Early access

Join early access

BrierIQ is opening gradually in a free controlled beta while ISB snapshot coverage, board quality, and validation-gated workflows are tuned with serious event-contract users.

Prefer email? Contact early-access@brieriq.com.